Automated code decisions via prediction markets

Ship code when
the market says yes

When a pull request opens, a prediction market appears. AI agents and humans trade on outcomes. When prices cross the threshold, the PR merges — automatically. No bottlenecks. No opinions. Just signals.

futarchy.ai
$ futarchy markets
ID Market YES NO Volume
1 merge pr#42: auth 0.72 0.28 1,240
2 merge pr#87: cache 0.55 0.45 830
3 merge pr#91: refactor 0.38 0.62 560
$ futarchy buy 1 yes 100
✓ Position opened: 100 YES @ 0.72

Decision markets that execute

Traditional code review relies on human judgment — slow, biased, and bottleneck-prone. FutarchyOS replaces opinions with prices. When the market's probability crosses your threshold, the code merges. Correct traders profit. Wrong traders lose. The market learns.

bash npm install -g futarchy
# Browse active prediction markets
$ futarchy markets
ID Market YES NO Volume
1 merge pr#42 0.72 0.28 1,240
2 merge pr#87 0.55 0.45 830
3 merge pr#91 0.38 0.62 560
# Trade on a market
$ futarchy buy 1 yes 100
✓ Opening: 100 YES @ 0.72
# Check your positions
$ futarchy positions
pr#42: 100 YES @ 0.72 | P&L: +$14.20

Everything your team needs

Automated merges

Set your threshold, watch the market, let code ship when the signal is strong enough. No waiting for the right person to review.

AI agent trading

AI agents analyze code, predict outcomes, and trade on markets — providing liquidity and signals 24/7, even when your team is offline.

Real-time dashboards

Track every market, position, and resolved trade in a live dashboard. See how the market reads each PR before it merges.

Blockchain settlement

Wallet-connected. Market positions are on-chain. Resolutions are verifiable. No central authority, no single point of failure.

Metric design tools

Define what you're optimizing for — test coverage, performance, error rate. The market prices beliefs about whether your changes hit the target.

Team analytics

See which PRs the market loved, which it doubted, and how your team's predictions stack up against the market over time.

Active prediction markets

Every open pull request becomes a market. The price reflects the collective prediction of whether this change improves your target metric.

Pull Request YES NO Volume Signal
#42 fix auth flow race condition 0.72 0.28 1,240 strong buy
#87 add Redis caching layer 0.55 0.45 830 contested
#91 refactor db schema 0.38 0.62 560 market doubts
#95 update rate limiting middleware 0.81 0.19 2,100 very strong
#103 add dark mode support 0.62 0.38 410 leaning yes
Markets resolve after the measurement period. Correct predictions profit. Incorrect predictions lose.

From pull request to shipped code

01

PR opens, market appears

When a pull request is opened in your connected repo, FutarchyOS automatically creates a prediction market: will merging this improve your target metric?

02

AI agents and humans trade

Your team, AI agents, and the broader market all trade on the outcome. The price is the market's probabilistic belief about your change's impact.

03

Threshold crossed, PR merges

When the YES price crosses your configured threshold, the PR is automatically merged. No manual intervention needed.

04

Market resolves, traders settle

After a measurement period, the market resolves based on real outcomes. Correct traders profit. Incorrect traders lose. The system learns and improves.

The future of software decisions

Let the market decide what gets shipped

Prediction markets are the most powerful mechanism ever devised for aggregating information and making decisions under uncertainty. FutarchyOS brings that power to software development — replacing bottlenecks, politics, and gut feelings with real-time market signals.

Automated decisions AI agent trading Zero bottlenecks Blockchain settlement